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My 2004 CMA Award Predictions

See who I think will win in each category at this year's CMA Awards.

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Logo for the 2004 CMA Awards.

Logo for the 2004 CMA Awards.

The CMA Awards show will broadcast on November 9, 2004. I thought I'd try my hand at predicting who I think will win in each category. Hopefully, I'll do better than I did at the ACM Awards. :D

Female Vocalist of the Year

The nominees are:

  • Terri Clark
  • Sara Evans
  • Alison Krauss
  • Martina McBride
  • Reba McEntire
My pick is Martina McBride. I think Sara Evans and Terri Clark are almost to the point where they will give Martina a lot more competition, but this year I believe Martina will take the award.

Album of the Year

The nominees are:

  • Here For The Party - Gretchen Wilson
  • Mud on the Tires - Brad Paisley
  • Red Dirt Road - Brooks & Dunn
  • Shock 'n Ya'll - Toby Keith
  • When The Sun Goes Down - Kenny Chesney
My pick is Shock 'n Ya'll, although Gretchen's Here For The Party has a strong chance too. I'm sticking with Toby.

Male Vocalist of the Year

The nominees are:

  • Kenny Chesney
  • Alan Jackson
  • Toby Keith
  • George Strait
  • Keith Urban
My pick is Kenny Chesney. He has never won a CMA Award, and I think this might be the category in which he will break that tradition.

Vocal Group of the Year

The nominees are:

  • Alabama
  • Diamond Rio
  • Lonestar
  • Rascal Flatts
  • Trick Pony
My pick is Rascal Flatts. Lonestar has had a really good year, especially with the popularity of "Mr. Mom," but I really think the guys of Rascal Flatts are on a roll, and will go home with the award.

Musician of the Year

The nominees are:

  • Matt Chamberlain - Drums
  • Kenny Greenberg - Electric Guitar
  • Dan Huff - Guitar
  • Larry Paxton - Guitar
  • Brent Rowan - Guitar
This is tough since I don't really know them as well. I'll go with Brent Rowan.

Vocal Duo of the Year

The nominees are:

  • Big & Rich
  • Blue County
  • Brooks & Dunn
  • Montgomery Gentry
  • The Warren Brothers
My pick is Brooks & Dunn. Big & Rich are getting much more popular, though, and Montgomery Gentry's been in the spotlight quite a bit too, so I think maybe next year we may possibly see someone else win the award. But this year, I think it's still gonna be Kix and Ronnie.

Song of the Year

The nominees are:

  • "Live Like You Were Dying" - Tim Nichols, Craig Wiseman
    Warner-Tamerlane, Big Loud Shirt
  • "Long Black Train" Josh Turner
    Sony/ATV Tunes, Drivers Ed Music
  • "Redneck Woman" Gretchen Wilson, John Rich
    Sony/ATV, Cross Keys, Hoosiermama Music, WB Music, Warner-Tamerlane
  • "Remember When" Alan Jackson
    EMI April Music, Tri-Angels Music
  • "Whiskey Lullaby" Bill Anderson, Jon Randall
    Mr. Bubba Music, Reyn Song, Sony/ATV Tree, Wha Ya Say
My pick is "Live Like You Were Dying." Tim's emotional performance at the ACMs, plus the multiple weeks at No. 1 on the charts make this an obvious choice.

Single of the Year

The nominees are:

  • "I Love This Bar" - Toby Keith
    Produced by James Stroud/Toby Keith, DreamWorks Records Nashville
  • "Live Like You Were Dying" - Tim McGraw
    Produced by Byron Gallimore, Tim McGraw, Darran Smith, Curb Records
  • "Redneck Woman" - Gretchen Wilson
    Produced by Joe Scaife, Mark Wright, Epic Records
  • "Remember When" - Alan Jackson
    Produced by Keith Stegall, Arista Nashville
  • "Whiskey Lullaby" - Brad Paisley featuring Alison Krauss
    Produced by Frank Rogers, Arista Nashville
My pick is "Redneck Woman." Gretchen really came out of the box with both guns blazing, taking this to No. 1, and it was well deserved. My second choice would be Alan Jackson's "Remember When," but I'm sticking with Gretchen as my pick.

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